Head vs Heart

Who is sad that the election is ending? Anyone? I'll tell you who is sad, TV stations in Ohio. If they didn't make millions of dollars in pure profit this year, then they suck at their job. This election is the real stimulus bill.

For the rest of us, it is happily coming to an end tomorrow. Who will win?

Fittingly, the predictions from both sides align perfectly with their ideologies

Liberals believe in science. In scientists. In facts. In statistics. In provable things. In evolution.

And so, they are looking at the polls, crunching the numbers, and concluding, that Obama should win. Nate Silver has Obama as 92% likely to win tomorrow.

Conservatives, on the other hand, believe in their "gut". In God. In magical thinking (and magic underwear). In hunches. In anecdotal evidence.

And so, they are looking at the crowds at Romney events and remembering how Obama is "the worst president in history", and saying damn the numbers, Mitt is going to win this thing. Just check out this column written by Peggy Noonan.

She says, as only a magical thinker can, "All the vibrations are right..."

Vibrations? Does Rasmussen do a poll on that?

I don't know. But I do know that elections are the great equalizer. Finally, one thing that can actually put all of this bullshit to rest. We can find out who is right, and who is wrong.

And the better news is that because of the internet, because of twitter, all of this stuff is documented. So many times we just forget all of it. All of the predictions. All of the Nate Silvers and the Peggy Noonans. But it's easily retrieved now, and that's what I'm looking forward to.

I don't know who will win. Maybe the polls are wrong. Maybe the vibrations are right. But the good news is we get to find out.

As for my prediction - I'm a liberal. So I'll take the numbers. Fuck the vibrations.